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Saturday, June 7, 2008
Rj International Marketing .Record Gas Prices Please Read
NEW YORK (Fortune) -- High-flying tech stocks crashed. The roaring housing market crumbled. And oil, rest assured, will follow the same path down.Not everyone agrees. In an echo of our most recent market frenzies, some experts pronounce that the "world has changed," and that the demand spikes, supply disruptions, and government bungling we face now will saddle us with a future of $4, $5 or even $10 a gallon gasoline. But if you stick to basic economics, it's clear that the only question is when - not if - prices will succumb. The oil bulls are correct in their explanations of why prices have jumped. It's indisputable that worldwide demand has surged, chiefly driven by strong growth in China, India and the Middle East. It's also true that most of the world's reserves are controlled by governments in places like Russia and Venezuela that mismanage production, thus curtailing supply growth.But rather than forming a permanent new plateau for prices - as the bulls contend - those forces are causing a classically unstable market that's destined for a steep fall. What do you think: Is $4-a-gallon case here to stay?In a normal oil market, the cost of producing the last, most expensive barrel of oil needed to satisfy worldwide demand sets the price for every barrel the world over. Other auction commodity markets work much the same way.So even if Saudi Arabia produces at $4 a barrel, if the final, multi-millionth barrel required to heat houses and run cars costs $50, and is produced, for argument's sake, at a flagging field in West Texas, the world price is $50. That's what economists call the equilibrium price: It's where the price that customers are willing to pay meets the production cost, including a cushion, naturally, for profit or "the cost of capital."But today, the sudden surge in demand and the production bottlenecks have thrown the market radically out of balance. Almost exactly the same thing happened in the housing market. And both housing and oil supply react to a surge in demand with a long lag. In housing, the lag is caused by restrictive zoning and development laws, especially in coastal markets like California and Florida.So when the economy roared back in 2002 and 2003, builders couldn't turn out homes fast enough for buyers armed with those cheap mortgages. As a result, prices spiked. They no longer bore any relation to the actual cost of buying and improving land, or constructing and marketing a new house (at some reasonable profit margin). Instead, frenzied buyers were setting the price. Because builders were reaping huge windfall profits, they rushed to buy and develop land. And sure enough, those new houses were ready just as buyers were retreating to the sidelines because they could no longer afford to buy a home. That vast overhang of unsold homes is what's driving down prices today.The story is much the same with oil, with a twist. A big swath of the market isn't really paying that $125 a barrel number you hear about seemingly every hour. In China, India and the Middle East, governments are heavily subsidizing oil for their consumers and corporations, leading to rampant over-consumption - and driving up prices even more. But sooner or later the world won't keep paying those prices: Eventually, the price must fall back to the cost of that last barrel to clear the market.So what does that barrel cost today? According to Stephen Brown, an economist at the Dallas Federal Reserve, that final barrel costs just $50 to produce. And when the price is $125, the incentive to pour out more oil, like homebuilders' incentive to build more two years ago, is irresistible.It takes a while to develop new supplies of oil, but the signs of a surge are already in place. Shale oil costing around $70 a barrel is now being produced in the Dakotas. Tar sands are attracting investment in Canada, also at around $70. New technology could soon minimize the pollution caused by producing oil from our super-plentiful supplies of coal."History suggests that when there's this much money to be made, new supplies do get developed," says Brown. That's just the supply side of the equation. Demand should start to decline as well, albeit gradually. "Historically, the oil market has under-anticipated the amount of conservation brought on by high prices," says Brown. Sales of big cars are collapsing; Americans are cutting down on driving. The airlines are scaling back flights.We've learned another important lesson from the housing market: The longer prices stay stratospheric, the worse the eventual crash - simply because the higher the prices and bigger the profit margins, the bigger the incentive to over-produce.It's even possible that, a few years hence, we could see a sustained period of plentiful oil supplies and low prices, meaning $50 or below. A similar scenario occurred following the price explosion in the 1970s and early 1980s. The price spike caused the world to cut back sharply on oil consumption. By the mid-80s, oil prices had fallen from almost $40 to around $15. They remained extremely low for two decades.It's impossible to predict how the adjustment this time will take shape, just as it was in housing. There the surge in supply came in places the experts swore there was "no supply," and wouldn't be any. Builders found a way to extend vast tracts of homes into California's Inland Empire and Central Valley, and even build "in-fill" projects near the densely-populated coasts.An earlier bubble is also instructive. In the early 1980s silver prices jumped from $10 to $50 on the theory that the world was facing a permanent shortage of silver. Suddenly ads appeared asking homeowners to bring their tea sets and jewelry to Holiday Inns for a big price. Silver supplies poured from seemingly nowhere, out of America's cupboards, of all places. And so it will be with oil. We don't know where the new abundance will come from, from shale, or tar sands or coal or an OPEC desperate to regain market share. We just know that it will appear. With prices like these, it always does
Rj International Marketing .Gary Flowers -Race For Obama
This morning it is 8.01 in my city and i am watching C-span and a lot of older caller our calling about race can you believe this this man obama just won a hard race too be the president of the united states One call came in and said to Mr flowers what is your stand about your organzation and he could not answer all he could do is look confuse . For Me this not about race we have high high gas prices we are losing jobs and we still in our in the old way of thinking get a job go to collage . please wake up our younger people see the light and are making changes quick iam sorry too say if we do not change the way we think we will fall back .please Gary flowers please do not talk like you know what Obama is thinking This is what i think we all are in a globle market this what is happen it is not limited to you city it everywhere and we must make change
Get on down and Pray and some people our scare of that
Get on down and Pray and some people our scare of that
Get ready for the radio show rj-imarketing.com
Friday, June 6, 2008
Rj International Marketing .Gas prices went to record high
please tell me why . more people are lying down waiting for a helping hand . today i went out passing out flyers for Opportunity and went to the the low income homes too give support . and make changes in some people lifes and the case worker was very rude we do not allow passing out flyer . this too help people find a way out she said no! so i told here is one for you she look like she is going throw it in the trash . on my way out i felt sorry for her because she depends on a job that help people stay in depression gas is too dam high and bush do not know what too say and Ed McMan is loosing his Masion and Holyfield is too these guys are Millionares Why please check out website www.rj-imarketing.com
Thursday, June 5, 2008
Rj International Marketing .Why start a Homebase Business
There have been many question why start a home base business .1 It will help with daycare and you get stay home 2, you can add too your income too travel too pay credit debt 3,Fire your boss and be leader be more do more 4. Give too your church be cherful giver 5, Be happy that you did it i Fell That you do understand How i Fell So please Check our website at
www.rj-imarketing.com
www.rj-imarketing.com
Rj International Marketing .Is it Time To Make Money
Yes it is lets look at this what are going too do gas is high food is high and everything going upppppp and away let started thank for reading my blog but the real reason you are here is too make lotss of money so go too the website and i will send so information or i will call you www.rj-imarketing.com
Tuesday, June 3, 2008
Rj International Marketing Obama and Cliton
Well we need change in matter of minutes i really want us as a people build our country .
Recent have been in my city and we are hungry some us do not know what too do and other dont give a fuck who ever get to The Head Cheif please make the order that we do the trading and we must not be on sale for all countries
Recent have been in my city and we are hungry some us do not know what too do and other dont give a fuck who ever get to The Head Cheif please make the order that we do the trading and we must not be on sale for all countries
Monday, June 2, 2008
Rj International Marketing .Change
Tonight i went too a meeting. and this was about how so many people is so scared.
But they will not do anything about there promblems the speaker spoke about when he was working in his high profile job that one day the company came in a fired the whole staff . they where moving oversea . also recent i seen a the news and ford . fired over 2,000 people was they ready for the change it was ford fault they did not change when they knew there oversea market gas was at 6.00 dollars 5 years ago and kept selling Suv the gas hoger and the Toy kept building smaller car a smaller dealerships and expanding market in Usa it was not about greed it was business keep overhead low and profits fair and we get mad look at this you must make change today stay tune too the radio show keep post
But they will not do anything about there promblems the speaker spoke about when he was working in his high profile job that one day the company came in a fired the whole staff . they where moving oversea . also recent i seen a the news and ford . fired over 2,000 people was they ready for the change it was ford fault they did not change when they knew there oversea market gas was at 6.00 dollars 5 years ago and kept selling Suv the gas hoger and the Toy kept building smaller car a smaller dealerships and expanding market in Usa it was not about greed it was business keep overhead low and profits fair and we get mad look at this you must make change today stay tune too the radio show keep post
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